Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.560767 0.619182 0.683613 0.760420 0.850107 0.952294 1.078643
2025-10-12 0.476269 0.557463 0.655043 0.783044 0.949782 1.164476 1.470384
2025-10-19 0.420084 0.510218 0.624743 0.785059 1.010883 1.329967 1.840488
2025-10-26 0.373562 0.465587 0.587223 0.765798 1.032769 1.438961 2.155759
2025-11-02 0.336917 0.428365 0.553022 0.743136 1.041633 1.525440 2.457894
2025-11-09 0.309079 0.399635 0.526361 0.726133 1.053801 1.616733 2.798106
2025-11-16 0.286469 0.375781 0.503642 0.711161 1.065188 1.707167 3.170548
2025-11-23 0.267864 0.355892 0.484491 0.698792 1.077920 1.801632 3.592612
2025-11-30 0.258246 0.348176 0.482670 0.713850 1.141069 2.010067 4.403438
2025-12-07 0.245584 0.334832 0.470734 0.710064 1.168005 2.149484 5.115874
2025-12-14 0.234191 0.322548 0.459319 0.705617 1.192539 2.290076 5.934986
2025-12-21 0.220422 0.305685 0.439159 0.683262 1.177036 2.331058 6.444565
2025-12-28 0.216975 0.305063 0.446093 0.712224 1.276665 2.701508 8.662447
2026-01-04 0.211866 0.301490 0.447863 0.731967 1.361395 3.072071 11.534360
2026-01-11 0.204219 0.293262 0.440899 0.733738 1.405146 3.342976 14.462723
2026-01-18 0.194238 0.280597 0.425215 0.716230 1.399081 3.453843 16.619459
2026-01-25 0.184601 0.267995 0.408809 0.695613 1.381907 3.522839 18.696708
2026-02-01 0.176449 0.257477 0.395476 0.680128 1.375562 3.631132 21.572535
2026-02-08 0.169153 0.248050 0.383543 0.666481 1.371978 3.751290 25.159535
2026-02-15 0.162690 0.239740 0.373155 0.655200 1.373104 3.893723 29.879470
2026-02-22 0.159969 0.237695 0.374192 0.668933 1.446711 4.383212 44.162069
2026-03-01 0.155223 0.231904 0.367821 0.665481 1.470352 4.667243 58.455329
2026-03-08 0.150697 0.226291 0.361453 0.661426 1.491685 4.957723 79.037867